A two-factor model for predicting when a couple will divorce: exploratory analyses using 14-year longitudinal data

Family Process
John Mordechai Gottman, Robert Wayne Levenson

Abstract

This article examines 14-year longitudinal data and attempts to create a post hoc model that uses Time-1 data to "predict" the length of time the marriage will last. The sample consists of the 21 couples (of 79 studied) who divorced over a 14-year period. A two-factor model is proposed. One factor is the amount of unregulated volatile positive and negative affect in the marriage, and this factor predicts a short marriage length for the divorcing couples. A second factor is called "neutral affective style," and this factor predicts a long marriage length for the divorcing couples. This model is compared to a Time-1 model of ailing marriage in which Time-1 marital satisfaction is used to predict the timing of divorce.

References

Aug 1, 1992·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology·J M Gottman, R W Levenson
Jun 1, 1992·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology·R W LevensonW V Friesen
Jul 1, 1990·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology·A Christensen, C L Heavey
Jul 1, 1985·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology·R W Levenson, J M Gottman
Sep 1, 1983·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology·R W Levenson, J M Gottman

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Citations

Apr 2, 2002·Family Process·Michael L DeKayPatricia R Houck
Oct 1, 2013·Journal of Marital and Family Therapy·Ryan B Seedall, Karen S Wampler
Oct 1, 2010·Journal of Marriage and the Family·Kira S BirdittJessica M McIlvane
Jan 31, 2012·Journal of Marital and Family Therapy·Jay L LebowSusan M Johnson
Jun 15, 2013·Family Process·Nicole A RobertsJonathan W Kanter
Jul 14, 2016·Aggressive Behavior·David MatsumotoMark G Frank
Apr 27, 2012·Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin·Brooke C Feeney, Edward P Lemay
Jul 23, 2003·Journal of Marital and Family Therapy·Susan M Johnson
Jun 20, 2020·Integrative Psychological & Behavioral Science·Pablo FossaMichelle Barr

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