Aiding Risk Information learning through Simulated Experience (ARISE): A Comparison of the Communication of Screening Test Information in Explicit and Simulated Experience Formats

Medical Decision Making : an International Journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
Pete WegierVictoria A Shaffer

Abstract

To determine whether the use of Aiding Risk Information learning through Simulated Experience (ARISE) to communicate conditional probabilities about maternal serum screening results for Down syndrome promotes more accurate positive predictive value (PPV) estimates and conceptual understanding of screening, compared with explicitly providing individuals with this information via numerical summary or icon array. In experiment 1, 582 participants completed an online study in which they were asked to estimate the PPV and rate their attitudes toward a screening test when information was presented in either a description (required calculation of the PPV), explicit (PPV was provided and had to be identified), or an ARISE format (PPV was inferred through experience-based learning). In experiment 2, 316 participants estimated the PPV and rated their attitudes toward screening based on information presented in either an icon array (identify the icons that represent the PPV) or ARISE format. In experiment 1, ARISE elicited the most accurate PPV estimates compared with the description and explicit formats, and both the explicit and ARISE formats led to more unfavorable attitudes toward screening. In experiment 2, both the icon array and AR...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jul 14, 2020·Medical Decision Making : an International Journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making·Bonnie A ArmstrongJulia Spaniol
Feb 1, 2021·Health Expectations : an International Journal of Public Participation in Health Care and Health Policy·Simone KorgerMartina Bientzle
Aug 7, 2021·BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making·Pete WegierRichelle J Koopman
Sep 3, 2021·Medical Decision Making : an International Journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making·K D ValentineLaura D Scherer
Dec 8, 2021·Perspectives on Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association for Psychological Science·Ralph Hertwig, Dirk U Wulff

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Software Mentioned

Mechanical Turk
ARISE

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