Analysis of development and evolution rules of civil aviation in China based on life cycle theory

PloS One
Yifei Zhao, Junqiang Wan

Abstract

The development of CAAC began in the early days of 1949. From a comparatively less popular means of transport to the world's second largest by volume, this means of transport has undergone major and minor changes in the last 70 years. It is not known whether there are significant laws in the process of development. For this reason, we analyze the statistical indicators of the development of civil aviation transport and select representative indicators, namely, the total turnover of transport, the number of routes, the number of aircraft, the number of transport aircraft, and the number of domestic city connections. At the same time, the life cycle theory is introduced, and the typical growth curve model is used to fit the data. It is found that the evolution life cycle of civil aviation in China can be divided into three stages: the first life cycle stage from 1950 to 1981, the second from 1982 to 2003, and the third from 2004 to 2017. Each life cycle follows the growth characteristics of occurrence, growth and maturity, and each life cycle has a time range of approximately 30 years. At present, China's civil aviation industry is in the period of rapid growth in the third life cycle. This industry is expected to reach maturity ...Continue Reading

References

Oct 13, 2007·The Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology·Albert L Sheffer
Jul 18, 2014·The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. American Volume·Umasuthan SrikumaranJon J P Warner
Aug 10, 2016·PloS One·Carla R V CoelhoHayo M G van der Werf

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