Abstract
How often enrollees with complex care needs leave the Medicare Advantage (MA) program and what might drive their decisions remain unknown. To characterize trends in switching to and from MA among high-need beneficiaries and to evaluate the drivers of disenrollment decisions. This cross-sectional study of MA and traditional Medicare (TM) enrollees from January 1, 2014, through December 31, 2015, used a multinomial logit regression stratified by Medicare-Medicaid eligibility status. All 14 589 645 non-high-need MA enrollees and 1 302 470 high-need enrollees in the United States who survived until the end of 2014 were eligible for the analysis. Data were analyzed from November 1, 2017, through August 1, 2018. Enrollee dual eligibility and high-need status (based on complex chronic conditions, multiple morbidities, use of health care services, functional impairment, and frailty indicators), MA plan star rating, and cost sharing. The proportion of enrollees who disenrolled into TM, remained in the same MA plan, or who switched plans within the MA program. A total of 13 901 816 enrollees were included in the analysis (56.2% women; mean [SD] age, 70.9 [9.9] years). Among the 1 302 470 high-need enrollees, an adjusted 4.6% (95% CI, 4.5...Continue Reading
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