Assessment of climate change impacts on water quality parameters of Lake Burullus, Egypt

Environmental Science and Pollution Research International
Ahmed ShalbyBakenaz A Zeidan

Abstract

Egyptian Mediterranean coast hosts five shallow lagoons which play a vital role in the national economy. Lake Burullus is the second largest one that is located in the Nile Delta and is connected to the Mediterranean by a narrow outlet. This lagoon faces various anthropogenic-induced implications that threat its ecosystem and biodiversity. The prime objective of this study is investigating the impacts of future climate change (CC) on its characteristics. A 2-D hydro-ecological modeling for the lagoon was implemented, using MIKE21FM. The proposed model was calibrated and validated against the collected water quality records, for two successive years (2011-2013), at twelve monitoring stations throughout the lagoon. The simulations were executed for various parameters, including water depth, salinity, DO, BOD, and nutrient components. Six simulations from different regional climate models (RCMs) were obtained and examined to extract the most accurate climatic projections for the lagoon coordinates. These climatic estimates cover three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios according to the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). A moderate sea level rise (SLR), locally projected offshore from the Nile Delta coast, wa...Continue Reading

References

Dec 10, 2009·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Martin Vermeer, Stefan Rahmstorf
Mar 23, 2010·Marine Pollution Bulletin·Irena V Telesh, Vladislav V Khlebovich
Jul 27, 2018·The Science of the Total Environment·M PesceA Marcomini

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Citations

Jul 21, 2020·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Sani Isah AbbaQuang-Vu Bach
Mar 29, 2020·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Alaa A Masoud
Aug 22, 2021·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Xueping GaoBowen Sun

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