PMID: 9450126Feb 5, 1998Paper

Behavioural factors in accidents at road junctions: the use of a genetic algorithm to extract descriptive rules from police case files

Accident; Analysis and Prevention
D D ClarkeR Wright

Abstract

In-depth studies of behavioural factors in road accidents using conventional methods are often inconclusive and costly. To explore an alternative approach, 200 cross-flow junction road accidents were sampled from the files of Nottinghamshire Constabulary, England, coded for computer analysis using a specially devised 'Traffic Related Action Analysis Language', and then examined using a genetic algorithm (or 'rule-finder' program). For comparison, the same analyses were carried out on 100 descriptions of safe turns, and 100 of hypothetical accident descriptions provided by experienced drivers. A number of findings emerged, distinguishing between accidents turning onto and off major roads; those of younger and older drivers; those that resulted in injury or in damage only; and so on. The study suggests that multiple case-studies based on police case files could be very promising, provided homogeneous samples of accidents are used. Genetic algorithms could play a useful role in preliminary assessment, but an 'information bottleneck' remains to be overcome in capturing enough detail from each case for analysis.

References

Apr 1, 1990·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·D C VianoR Scott
Feb 1, 1985·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·P F Agran, D E Dunkle
Jun 1, 1993·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·D L MassieD F Blower
Oct 1, 1990·Ergonomics·J ReasonK Campbell

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Citations

May 10, 2005·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·David D ClarkeRichard Wright
Jan 25, 2008·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Jinn-Tsai Wong, Yi-Shih Chung
Nov 26, 2010·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Vincent BoccaraJanine Rogalski
Jun 9, 2012·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Yu-Chiun ChiouWen-Pin Chen
Oct 8, 2005·Journal of Interpersonal Violence·Julia J FossiClaire Lawrence
Aug 26, 2011·Gerontology·Helena SelanderTorbjörn Falkmer
Mar 1, 2019·Journal of Interpersonal Violence·Leah Quinn-EvansLorraine Sheridan

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