Birds are tracking climate warming, but not fast enough.

Proceedings. Biological Sciences
Vincent DevictorFrédéric Jiguet

Abstract

Range shifts of many species are now documented as a response to global warming. But whether these observed changes are occurring fast enough remains uncertain and hardly quantifiable. Here, we developed a simple framework to measure change in community composition in response to climate warming. This framework is based on a community temperature index (CTI) that directly reflects, for a given species assemblage, the balance between low- and high-temperature dwelling species. Using data from the French breeding bird survey, we first found a strong increase in CTI over the last two decades revealing that birds are rapidly tracking climate warming. This increase corresponds to a 91 km northward shift in bird community composition, which is much higher than previous estimates based on changes in species range edges. During the same period, temperature increase corresponds to a 273 km northward shift in temperature. Change in community composition was thus insufficient to keep up with temperature increase: birds are lagging approximately 182 km behind climate warming. Our method is applicable to any taxa with large-scale survey data, using either abundance or occurrence data. This approach can be further used to test whether differ...Continue Reading

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Citations

Oct 20, 2012·Oecologia·Sébastien BonthouxGérard Balent
Mar 25, 2011·Biology Letters·Laurent GodetVincent Devictor
Jun 12, 2009·Proceedings. Biological Sciences·Lynsey McInnesC David L Orme
Jun 18, 2010·Proceedings. Biological Sciences·Frédéric JiguetAke Lindström
Apr 15, 2011·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Endre KnudsenNils Chr Stenseth
Nov 22, 2011·Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology·Gregorio Moreno-RuedaAlbert Montori
Mar 20, 2012·PloS One·Jean-Yves BarnagaudFrédéric Archaux
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Sep 30, 2016·Global Change Biology·Andrea SantangeliAleksi Lehikoinen
Sep 15, 2016·Global Change Biology·Pierre GaüzèreVincent Devictor
Oct 1, 2014·PloS One·Hector GalbraithJ Michael Reed
Feb 11, 2016·PloS One·Erica Westerman, Antónia Monteiro
Jan 11, 2017·Global Change Biology·Tom H OliverDavid B Roy
Dec 23, 2015·Global Change Biology·Aleksi Lehikoinen, Raimo Virkkala
Nov 10, 2017·Proceedings. Biological Sciences·Per Wegge, Jørund Rolstad

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