PMID: 26320458Sep 1, 2015Paper

Characteristics and Prediction of Lung Cancer Mortality in China from 1991 to 2013

Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention : APJCP
Jia-Ying FangKun Lin

Abstract

To describe and analyze the epidemiological characteristics of lung cancer mortality in China from 1991 to 2013, forecast the future five-year trend and provide scientific evidence for prevention and management of lung cancer. Mortality data for lung cancer in China from 1991 to 2013 were used to describe epidemiological characteristics. Trend surface analysis was applied to analyze the geographical distribution of lung cancer. Four models, curve estimation, time series modeling, gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression, were performed to forecast the trend for the future. Since 1991 the mortality rate of lung cancer increased yearly. The rate for males was higher than that for females and rates in urban areas were higher than in rural areas. In addition, our results showed that the trend will continue to increase in the ensuing 5 years. The mortality rate increased from age 45-50 and peaked in the group of 85 years old. Geographical analysis indicated that people living in northeast China provinces and the coastal provinces in eastern China had a higher mortality rate for lung cancer than those living in the centre or western Chinese provinces. The standardized mortality rate of lung cancer has constantly increased from 199...Continue Reading

References

Mar 1, 1996·Lung Cancer : Journal of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer·Y X DuJ M Wu
Mar 7, 2002·JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association·C Arden PopeGeorge D Thurston
Jun 6, 2002·Journal of the National Cancer Institute·Qing LanXingzhou He
Oct 11, 2008·International Journal of Cancer. Journal International Du Cancer·Dongmei QiuTomotaka Sobue
Dec 15, 2010·Seminars in Cancer Biology·Jian Guo Chen, Si Wei Zhang
Apr 26, 2014·Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention : APJCP·Xiao-Jun ShiKun Lin
Aug 30, 2014·Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention : APJCP·Wen-Rui TangKun Lin
Mar 17, 2015·Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention : APJCP·Jia-Ying FangKun Lin

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Citations

Nov 2, 2016·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Lijun WangZhi-Jiang Zhang
Mar 24, 2020·Integrative Cancer Therapies·Cunzhi LinLiyan Shen
Mar 29, 2020·BMC Infectious Diseases·Peifeng LiangZhongqin Guo

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