Characterization of Moist Processes Associated With Changes in the Propagation of the MJO With Increasing CO2.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Ángel F AdamesJingbo Wu

Abstract

The processes that lead to changes in the propagation and maintenance of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) as a response to increasing CO2 are examined by analyzing moist static energy budget of the MJO in a series of NASA GISS model simulations. It is found changes in MJO propagation is dominated by several key processes. Horizontal moisture advection, a key process for MJO propagation, is found to enhance predominantly due to an increase in the mean horizontal moisture gradients. The terms that determine the strength of the advecting wind anomalies, the MJO horizontal scale and the dry static stability, are found to exhibit opposing trends that largely cancel out. Furthermore, reduced sensitivity of precipitation to changes in column moisture, i.e., a lengthening in the convective moisture adjustment time scale, also opposes enhanced propagation. The dispersion relationship of Adames and Kim, which accounts for all these processes, predicts an acceleration of the MJO at a rate of ∼3.5% K-1, which is consistent with the actual phase speed changes in the simulation. For the processes that contribute to MJO maintenance, it is found that damping by vertical MSE advection is reduced due to the increasing vertical moisture gradie...Continue Reading

References

Sep 26, 2017·Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems·Ángel F AdamesJingbo Wu

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Citations

May 3, 2019·Journal of Climate·Stephanie S RushleyÁngel F Adames
Sep 4, 2020·Reviews of Geophysics·C ZhangD Yang

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GISS

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