Climate change and human health: estimating avoidable deaths and disease

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
R Sari KovatsFranziska Matthies

Abstract

Human population health has always been central in the justification for sustainable development but nearly invisible in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change negotiations. Current scientific evidence indicates that climate change will contribute to the global burden of disease through increases in diarrhoeal disease, vector-borne disease, and malnutrition, and the health impacts of extreme weather and climate events. A few studies have estimated future potential health impacts of climate change but often generate little policy-relevant information. Robust estimates of future health impacts rely on robust projections of future disease patterns. The application of a standardized and established methodology has been developed to quantify the impact of climate change in relation to different greenhouse gas emission scenarios. All health risk assessments are necessarily biased toward conservative best-estimates of health effects that are easily measured. Global, regional, and national risk assessments can take no account of irreversibility, or plausible low-probability events with potentially very high burdens on human health. There is no "safe limit" of climate change with respect to health impacts as health sy...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jun 28, 2007·The Journals of Gerontology. Series A, Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences·Micaela ForoniChiara Mussi
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Feb 1, 2008·American Journal of Public Health·Howard FrumkinMichael McGeehin
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Jul 17, 2008·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Carlo C JaegerKlaus Hasselmann
May 16, 2015·Urolithiasis·Ahmad Shajari, Mohammad Mousaei Sanjerehei
Jun 21, 2011·Environmental Research·Mark S GoldbergMarie-France Valois
Dec 1, 2017·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Hong Quan NguyenPeter Van der Steen
Nov 18, 2005·Nature·Jonathan A PatzJonathan A Foley
Apr 4, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Jean C BikomeyeKirsten M M Beyer
Jul 31, 2021·Nature Communications·R Daniel Bressler

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