Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative Approaches

JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
John S BrownsteinQian Zhang

Abstract

Influenza outbreaks affect millions of people every year and its surveillance is usually carried out in developed countries through a network of sentinel doctors who report the weekly number of Influenza-like Illness cases observed among the visited patients. Monitoring and forecasting the evolution of these outbreaks supports decision makers in designing effective interventions and allocating resources to mitigate their impact. Describe the existing participatory surveillance approaches that have been used for modeling and forecasting of the seasonal influenza epidemic, and how they can help strengthen real-time epidemic science and provide a more rigorous understanding of epidemic conditions. We describe three different participatory surveillance systems, WISDM (Widely Internet Sourced Distributed Monitoring), Influenzanet and Flu Near You (FNY), and show how modeling and simulation can be or has been combined with participatory disease surveillance to: i) measure the non-response bias in a participatory surveillance sample using WISDM; and ii) nowcast and forecast influenza activity in different parts of the world (using Influenzanet and Flu Near You). WISDM-based results measure the participatory and sample bias for three e...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jun 6, 2020·The New England Journal of Medicine·Andrew T Chan, John S Brownstein
Jul 10, 2020·PLoS Computational Biology·Samuel V ScarpinoLauren Ancel Meyers
Oct 3, 2020·PloS One·Lauren Lapointe-ShawJohn S Brownstein
Aug 22, 2018·Scientific Reports·Jiangzhuo ChenMadhav Marathe
Dec 7, 2019·American Journal of Preventive Medicine·Elissa R WeitzmanLauren E Wisk
Oct 3, 2020·Journal of Medical Internet Research·Tracey Pérez KoehlmoosRodney Sturdivant
Nov 3, 2021·JMIR Public Health and Surveillance·Onicio Leal-NetoPhilipp Kohler
Apr 29, 2021·The Indian Journal of Medical Research·Jasbir Singh BediSukhadeo B Barbuddhe
Jan 13, 2022·Telemedicine Journal and E-health : the Official Journal of the American Telemedicine Association·Rebekah L GardnerBlake Morphis

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Software Mentioned

WISDM
Influenzanet
ILINet
FluOutlook
GLEAM
FNY
MTurk
HealthMap
Influweb
HealthMap Flu Trends

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