Construction and validation of a decision tree based on biomarkers for predicting severe acute kidney injury in critically ill patients

Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue
Ruibin ChiZhigang Jian

Abstract

To construct and evaluate a decision tree based on biomarkers for predicting severe acute kidney injury (AKI) in critical patients. A prospectively study was conducted. Critical patients who had been admitted to the department of critical care medicine of Xiaolan Hospital of Southern Medical University from January 2017 to June 2018 were enrolled. The clinical data of the patients were recorded, and the biomarkers, including serum cystatin C (sCys C) and urinary N-acetyl-β-D-glucosaminidase (uNAG) were established immediately after admission to intensive care unit (ICU), and the end points were recorded. The test cohort was established with patient data from January to December 2017. The decision tree classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm was used, and the best cut-off values of biomarkers were used as the decision node to construct a biomarker decision tree model for predicting severe AKI. The accuracy of the decision tree model was evaluated by the overall accuracy and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The validation cohort, established on patient data from January to June 2018, was used to further validate the accuracy and predictive ability of the decision tree. In test cohort, 263 patients we...Continue Reading

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