COVID-19 Trends and Forecast in the Eastern Mediterranean Region With a Particular Focus on Pakistan

Curēus
Saima DilZafar H Maken

Abstract

First reported in China, the coronavirus responsible for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread to 213 countries and territories around the world as of April 26, 2020. This study was designed to explore COVID-19 trends in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), with a particular focus on Pakistan. Daily reports and updates from the Ministry of National Health Services Regulations and Coordination COVID-19 Pakistan and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control were collected and study-specific data were extracted and analyzed. Our analysis revealed that, as of April 26, 2020, a total of 22 countries and territories in the EMR have reported COVID-19 cases. Iran had the highest number of cases (89,329) followed by Saudi Arabia (16,299), Pakistan (12,723), and the United Arab Emirates (9,813). Egypt (7.1%), Iran (6.3%), and Iraq (4.9%) had high case fatality rates; Lebanon (3.4%) and Pakistan (2.1%) had moderate case fatality rates; Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had low case fatality rates of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively. Iran (76.3%) and Iraq (69.4 %) had the highest recovery rate followed by Pakistan (22.5%), the United Arab Emirates (19.2%), and Saudi Arabia (13.6%). If the current trend continues...Continue Reading

References

Oct 19, 2012·The New England Journal of Medicine·Ali M ZakiRon A M Fouchier
Jan 25, 2020·The New England Journal of Medicine·Vincent J MunsterEmmie de Wit
Mar 11, 2020·Lancet·Yuntao WuZhi-Ming Zheng
Apr 3, 2020·The Lancet Infectious Diseases·Robert VerityNeil M Ferguson
Apr 24, 2020·New Microbes and New Infections·A WarisA Baset

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Citations

Dec 29, 2020·Frontiers in Public Health·Sammina MahmoodSadaf Areej

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