Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years.

Nature
G BlöschlOliver Wetter

Abstract

There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way1. Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe2. However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood seasonality. We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560-1580 (western and central Europe), 1760-1800 (most of Europe), 1840-1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990-2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred...Continue Reading

References

Sep 27, 2013·Scientific Reports·Lukas GlurFlavio S Anselmetti
Sep 10, 2016·Water Resources Research·Alberto ViglioneGünter Blöschl
Nov 15, 2016·Water Resources Research·José Luis SalinasGünter Blöschl
Aug 12, 2017·Science·Günter BlöschlNenad Živković
Jun 26, 2018·International Journal of Climatology : a Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society·Michael HofstätterGünter Blöschl
Jun 21, 2019·Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres : JGR·M Hofstätter, G Blöschl
Aug 30, 2019·Nature·Günter BlöschlNenad Živković

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Citations

Jul 24, 2020·Nature·Francis Ludlow, Rhonda McGovern
Jul 27, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Nieves Bravo-ParedesRicardo M Trigo

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Software Mentioned

fastTps
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