Disability trends in Europe by age-period-cohort analysis: Increasing disability in younger cohorts.

Disability and Health Journal
Johannes Beller, Jelena Epping

Abstract

Several studies have examined trends in disability, but only few have explicitly considered possible age, time period and birth cohort differences simultaneously. We examined disability trends in Europe according to age, time period, and birth cohort. We used population-based data of Europeans (European Social Survey, N = 228159), aged 15-90 years, covering 15 countries (Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland) and spanning a time period from 2002 to 2016. We found that there were only small overall changes in disability over time periods. However, there were strong U-shaped birth cohort effects, such that younger cohorts born after 1960 experienced higher levels of disability. This U-shaped cohort trend appeared strongest for non-severe disability and was most pronounced in Germany. Therefore, disability in Europe seemed to generally increase in more recent cohorts, who might thus be at risk to experience more morbidity in the future than previous generations. Future studies should investigate the mechanisms that contribute to these trends, the generalizability of the observed birth cohort effects, and the cross-national dif...Continue Reading

Citations

Jul 30, 2020·Journal of Aging and Health·Johannes Beller, Adina Wagner
Nov 13, 2020·Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology·Johannes BellerSiegfried Geyer
May 29, 2021·Scientific Reports·Batoul SafieddineSiegfried Geyer
Jul 11, 2021·The Journals of Gerontology. Series A, Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences·Patrick O'KeefeJoseph Lee Rodgers

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