PMID: 8601955Apr 24, 1996Paper

Employment implications of declining tobacco product sales for the regional economies of the United States

JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association
K E WarnerD R Grimes

Abstract

To determine whether declines in tobacco product sales significantly reduce employment in the United States, as the tobacco industry claims. Computer simulation of the economies of the Southeast Tobacco region and 8 nontobacco regions of the United States, with domestic tobacco expenditures eliminated or reduced and the equivalent spending redistributed, according to consumers' normal spending patterns. We compared these results with baseline forecasts of the regional economies that include normal tobacco expenditures. Number of jobs. Had there been no spending on tobacco products in the United States in 1993, the Southeast Tobacco region would have had 303 000 fewer jobs. Collectively, however, the 8 nontobacco regions would have gained enough employment to completely offset losses in the Southeast Tobacco region, with every nontobacco region gaining jobs. By the year 2000, the absence of tobacco spending would mean a loss of 222 000 jobs in the Southeast Tobacco region, but a gain of 355 000 throughout the rest of the country. In the more realistic scenario of doubling the downward trend in tobacco consumption, the Southeast Tobacco region would lose 6300 jobs in 1993 (0.03% of regional employment) and 36 600 jobs by 2000 (0....Continue Reading

Citations

Feb 15, 2014·American Journal of Public Health·Lisa M PowellFrank J Chaloupka
Apr 8, 1999·Thorax·D Cohen, G Barton
Feb 26, 2000·Tobacco Control·K E Warner
May 26, 2005·American Journal of Public Health·Edith D BalbachJocelyn Pan
Jul 30, 2005·American Journal of Public Health·Thomas R Frieden, Drew E Blakeman
May 20, 2003·Addiction·Harold A Pollack, Peter D Jacobson
Feb 18, 2010·Visual Anthropology Review : Journal of the Society for Visual Anthropology·Martin G Otañez, Stanton A Glantz
Aug 19, 2006·American Journal of Industrial Medicine·Eduard ZaloshnjaGeetha Waehrer
May 2, 2015·Injury Prevention : Journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention·Eduard ZaloshnjaBruce A Lawrence
Dec 6, 2007·American Journal of Preventive Medicine·Gary A Giovino
Apr 25, 2000·Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health·S ChapmanR Sanson-Fisher
Nov 2, 2019·Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law·Helen LevyGabriel Ehrlich

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