PMID: 22587149May 17, 2012Paper

Epidemic reemergence in adaptive complex networks

Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
J ZhouT H Cheng

Abstract

The dynamic nature of a system gives rise to dynamical features of epidemic spreading, such as oscillation and bistability. In this paper, by studying the epidemic spreading in growing networks, in which susceptible nodes may adaptively break the connections with infected ones yet avoid being isolated, we reveal a phenomenon, epidemic reemergence, where the number of infected nodes is incubated at a low level for a long time and then erupts for a short time. The process may repeat several times before the infection finally vanishes. Simulation results show that all three factors, namely the network growth, the connection breaking, and the isolation avoidance, are necessary for epidemic reemergence to happen. We present a simple theoretical analysis to explain the process of reemergence in detail. Our study may offer some useful insights, helping explain the phenomenon of repeated epidemic explosions.

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Citations

Jan 1, 2014·PloS One·Kai GongYing-Cheng Lai
Dec 24, 2013·Journal of Statistical Physics·Ilker TuncLeah B Shaw
Dec 24, 2015·Virulence·Assimakis A KattisIoannis G Kevrekidis
Jul 28, 2015·Physics of Life Reviews·Zhen WangChris T Bauch
Apr 27, 2016·Journal of Theoretical Biology·Yang LiuZhen Wang
Aug 8, 2014·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Benjamin M Althouse, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne
Dec 23, 2016·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Frederik VerelstPhilippe Beutels
Nov 3, 2015·Scientific Reports·Muhua ZhengZonghua Liu
Sep 26, 2012·Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics·Jie ZhouChoy Heng Lai
Nov 25, 2014·Journal of Physics. A, Mathematical and Theoretical·Maxim S ShkarayevLeah B Shaw
Jun 13, 2015·Journal of Mathematical Biology·András Szabó-SolticzkyPéter L Simon
Jul 30, 2017·Journal of Mathematical Biology·Winfried JustYing Xin
May 16, 2018·Physical Review. E·N SherborneI Z Kiss
Oct 16, 2013·Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics·Jie ZhouGuanrong Chen
Aug 24, 2021·Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology·Matthew J Silk, Nina H Fefferman

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