Epidemiological trends, predictive factors, and projection of tooth loss in Germany 1997-2030: part I. missing teeth in adults and seniors.

Clinical Oral Investigations
A Rainer JordanFalk Schwendicke

Abstract

This is the first part of a report on tooth loss in Germany 1997-2030. Here, we describe trends in the prevalence of tooth loss in adults and seniors 1997-2014, assess predictive factors for tooth loss and projected it into 2030. Data of the cross-sectional, multi-center, nationally representative German Oral Health Studies of 1997, 2005, and 2014 were used. Age, sex, educational level, smoking status, and the cohort were used for ordinary least square regression to assess the association of predictors with tooth loss (missing teeth, MT). The yielded regression coefficients were used to predict tooth loss in 2030. Compared with 1997, the mean MT in adults (35-44 years old) in 2030 was predicted to decrease by two-thirds to 1.3. The prevalence of tooth loss (MT > 0) will decrease by 72% from 1997 to 2030. In 2030, half of the population of adults will not exhibit any tooth loss. Compared with 1997, the mean MT among seniors (65-74 years old) will decline to 5.6 teeth (i. e. two-thirds reduction) until 2030. Prevalence of tooth loss will be halved by 2030, and approximately one-third of this age group will not exhibit any tooth loss. Based on the model used, the trend of a robust decline in tooth loss will become more dynamic by ...Continue Reading

References

Jun 1, 1987·Statistics in Medicine·D Clayton, E Schifflers
Jul 17, 1980·The New England Journal of Medicine·J F Fries
Sep 30, 1999·Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology·A L Suominen-TaipaleA Uutela
Jan 20, 2004·Health Services Research·Gregg H GilbertBrent J Shelton
Jun 10, 2006·Scandinavian Journal of Public Health. Supplement·Agneta Ekman
Sep 15, 2006·Journal of Clinical Periodontology·Jonathan M BroadbentSheila M Williams
May 31, 2013·Journal of Dental Research·W MarcenesC J L Murray
Jul 17, 2013·Journal of Dental Research·S NelsonP Milgrom
Oct 10, 2013·Journal of Clinical Periodontology·Flávio Fernando DemarcoMarco Aurélio Peres
Jun 21, 2014·Journal of Dental Research·N J KassebaumW Marcenes
Aug 12, 2015·Advances in Anatomic Pathology·Karel G M MoonsUNKNOWN Transparent Reporting of a Multivariate Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Development Initiative
Oct 10, 2018·Journal of Clinical Periodontology·Falk SchwendickeRainer A Jordan

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Jun 10, 2021·Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz·Fabian Huettig, Falk Schwendicke

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

Excel
R
YASAIw
SPSS

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.

Related Papers

Acta Odontologica Scandinavica
Rafael Da Silveira MoreiraJúlio César Rodrigues Pereira
Indian Journal of Dental Research : Official Publication of Indian Society for Dental Research
Benley GeorgeI Meignana Arumugham
Special Care in Dentistry : Official Publication of the American Association of Hospital Dentists, the Academy of Dentistry for the Handicapped, and the American Society for Geriatric Dentistry
S E MarcusL J Brown
Journal of Public Health Dentistry
Patricia Nicola LaguzziSusana Lorenzo
© 2021 Meta ULC. All rights reserved