PMID: 9658774Jul 11, 1998Paper

Estimating lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing cancer

Lifetime Data Analysis
L M WunE J Feuer

Abstract

Lifetime and age-conditional risk estimates of developing cancer provide a useful summary to the public of the current cancer risk and how this risk compares with earlier periods and among select subgroups of society. These reported estimates, commonly quoted in the popular press, have the potential to promote early detection efforts, to increase cancer awareness, and to serve as an aid in study planning. However, they can also be easily misunderstood and frightening to the general public. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute and the American Cancer Society have recently begun including in annual reports lifetime and age-conditional risk estimates of developing cancer. These risk estimates are based on incidence rates that reflect new cases of the cancer in a population free of the cancer. To compute these estimates involves a cancer prevalence adjustment that is computed cross-sectionally from current incidence and mortality data derived within a multiple decrement life table. This paper presents a detailed description of the methodology for deriving lifetime and age-conditional risk estimates of developing cancer. In addition, an extension is made which, using a tripl...Continue Reading

Citations

May 20, 2003·Statistics in Medicine·Michael P FayEric J Feuer
Jun 20, 2008·Medical Physics·Mehul P SampatMia K Markey
Mar 2, 2011·Arthritis and Rheumatism·Cynthia S CrowsonSherine E Gabriel
Jun 20, 2013·Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine·Turgay AyerElizabeth S Burnside
Jul 31, 2008·Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology·Ken-ichi KamoTomotaka Sobue
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Aug 28, 2021·International Journal of Cancer. Journal International Du Cancer·Sayo KawaiShogo Kikuchi
Apr 3, 2021·Ocular Oncology and Pathology·Mathias Nittmann, Curtis E Margo

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