Estimating the completeness of death registration: An empirical method

PloS One
Tim Adair, Alan D Lopez

Abstract

Many national and subnational governments need to routinely measure the completeness of death registration for monitoring and statistical purposes. Existing methods, such as death distribution and capture-recapture methods, have a number of limitations such as inaccuracy and complexity that prevent widespread application. This paper presents a novel empirical method to estimate completeness of death registration at the national and subnational level. Random-effects models to predict the logit of death registration completeness were developed from 2,451 country-years in 110 countries from 1970-2015 using the Global Burden of Disease 2015 database. Predictors include the registered crude death rate, under-five mortality rate, population age structure and under-five death registration completeness. Models were developed separately for males, females and both sexes. All variables are highly significant and reliably predict completeness of registration across a wide range of registered crude death rates (R-squared 0.85). Mean error is highest at medium levels of observed completeness. The models show quite close agreement between predicted and observed completeness for populations outside the dataset. There is high concordance with ...Continue Reading

References

Jan 1, 1995·Epidemiologic Reviews·E B Hook, R R Regal
Apr 21, 2010·PLoS Medicine·Christopher J L MurrayAlan D Lopez
Apr 19, 2011·Population Health Metrics·Karen L CarterIan Riley

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Citations

Apr 11, 2019·Asia-Pacific Journal of Public Health·Urarang KiturAlan D Lopez
Sep 8, 2020·Global Health Action·Olusesan Ayodeji MakindeNosakhare Orobaton
Dec 21, 2019·Scandinavian Journal of Public Health·Kim Moesgaard IburgNicola Richards
Mar 10, 2020·BMC Medicine·Lene MikkelsenAlan D Lopez
Sep 6, 2020·Population Health Metrics·Luiz Fernando Lima CostaMaria de Fatima Marinho
Aug 20, 2020·The Journal of the Egyptian Public Health Association·Nesma Lotfy
Apr 20, 2019·Population Health Metrics·Urarang KiturAlan D Lopez
Jul 31, 2019·Population Health Metrics·Bruno MasquelierAnjarasoa Rasoanomenjanahary
Jan 27, 2021·Nature Medicine·Usama BilalUNKNOWN SALURBAL group
Jan 9, 2021·BMC Medicine·UNKNOWN Local Burden of Disease HIV Collaborators
May 21, 2021·Omega·Abbas Askari-NodoushanMaryam Askari
Jan 12, 2022·European Journal of Public Health·Periklis CharalampousUNKNOWN COST Action CA18218 participants

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