Estimating the size of illicit tobacco consumption in Brazil: findings from the global adult tobacco survey

Tobacco Control
Roberto Magno IglesiasLiz Maria de Almeida

Abstract

Brazil experienced a large decline in smoking prevalence between 2008 and 2013. Tax rate increases since 2007 and a new tobacco tax structure in 2012 may have played an important role in this decline. However, continuous tax rate increases pushed up cigarette prices over personal income growth and, therefore, some consumers, especially lower income individuals, may have migrated to cheaper illicit cigarettes. To use tobacco surveillance data to estimate the size of illicit tobacco consumption before and after excise tax increases. We defined a threshold price and compared it with purchasing prices obtained from two representative surveys conducted in 2008 and 2013 to estimate the proportion of illicit cigarette use among daily smokers. Generalised linear model was specified to understand whether the absolute difference in proportions over time differed by sociodemographic groups and consumption levels. Our findings were validated using an alternative method. Total proportion of illicit daily consumption increased from 16.6% to 31.1% between 2008 and 2013. We observed a pattern of unadjusted absolute decreases in cigarette smoking prevalence and increases in the proportion of illicit consumption, irrespective of gender, age, edu...Continue Reading

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Citations

Mar 1, 2018·Cadernos de saúde pública·Leonardo Henriques PortesSilvana Rubano Barretto Turci
May 17, 2018·Nicotine & Tobacco Research : Official Journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco·Guillermo Paraje
Jun 29, 2017·Salud pública de México·Adriana Bacelar Ferreira-GomesZohra Abaakouk
Aug 24, 2018·Tobacco Control·Allen W A GallagherAnna B Gilmore
Dec 17, 2018·Tobacco Control·Guillermo ParajeJeffrey Drope
Aug 7, 2019·Tobacco Control·Nicole VelliosHana Ross
Oct 12, 2018·Jornal brasileiro de pneumologia : publicaça̋o oficial da Sociedade Brasileira de Pneumologia e Tisilogia·André Salem Szklo, Tânia Maria Cavalcante
Dec 22, 2017·American Journal of Public Health·André SzkloLiz Maria de Almeida
Jul 3, 2018·Bulletin of the World Health Organization·Mark Goodchild, Rong Zheng
Jan 11, 2018·American Journal of Public Health·Stella A Bialous, Stanton A Glantz
Jul 9, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·S M AbdullahKamran Siddiqi
Aug 28, 2020·Tobacco Control·Livio Santos de Leite Ribeiro, Vilma da Conceição Pinto
Apr 13, 2019·Tobacco Control·Andre Salem Szklo, Roberto Magno Iglesias
Mar 13, 2020·Tobacco Control·Kirsten van der ZeeHana Ross
Mar 16, 2018·Tobacco Control·Norman MaldonadoDiego Escobar
Dec 18, 2020·Cadernos de saúde pública·André Salem Szklo, Roberto Magno Iglesias
Nov 5, 2020·Tobacco Control·Mark GoodchildAnne-Marie Perucic
Nov 13, 2020·Bulletin of the World Health Organization·Mark GoodchildFikru Tesfaye Tullu

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