Estimation of exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Africa

Infectious Diseases of Poverty
Salihu Sabiu MusaDaihai He

Abstract

Since the first case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Africa was detected on February 14, 2020, the cumulative confirmations reached 15 207 including 831 deaths by April 13, 2020. Africa has been described as one of the most vulnerable region with the COVID-19 infection during the initial phase of the outbreak, due to the fact that Africa is a great commercial partner of China and some other EU and American countries. Which result in large volume of travels by traders to the region more frequently and causing African countries face even bigger health threat during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the fact that the control and management of COVID-19 pandemic rely heavily on a country's health care system, and on average Africa has poor health care system which make it more vulnerable indicating a need for timely intervention to curtail the spread. In this paper, we estimate the exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number (R0) of COVID-19 in Africa to show the potential of the virus to spread, and reveal the importance of sustaining stringent health measures to control the disease in Africa. We analyzed the initial phase of the epidemic of COVID-19 in Africa between 1 March and 13 April 2020, by using the si...Continue Reading

References

Jun 24, 2006·Bulletin of Mathematical Biology·Junling Ma, David J D Earn
May 4, 2007·Proceedings. Biological Sciences·J Wallinga, M Lipsitch
Sep 18, 2013·American Journal of Epidemiology·Anne CoriSimon Cauchemez
Dec 12, 2018·Bulletin of Mathematical Biology·Fred Brauer
Jan 21, 2020·Infectious Disease Modelling·Junling Ma
Jan 30, 2020·The New England Journal of Medicine·Qun LiZijian Feng
Feb 3, 2020·International Journal of Infectious Diseases : IJID : Official Publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases·Shi ZhaoMaggie H Wang
Feb 6, 2020·Euro Surveillance : Bulletin Européen Sur Les Maladies Transmissibles = European Communicable Disease Bulletin·Julien Riou, Christian L Althaus
Mar 8, 2020·International Journal of Infectious Diseases : IJID : Official Publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases·Hiroshi NishiuraAndrei R Akhmetzhanov
Jun 9, 2020·MedRxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences·Zhanwei DuLauren Ancel Meyers

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Sep 18, 2020·Infectious Diseases of Poverty·Hussen MohammedTsegahun Manyazewal
Jan 6, 2021·Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal·Muhammad Fayyaz Ur RehmanMuhammad Farhan Ul Haque
Nov 5, 2020·Current Tropical Medicine Reports·Van Thuan HoangPhilippe Gautret
Feb 2, 2021·Expert Review of Anti-infective Therapy·Cheng DingShigui Yang
Feb 24, 2021·Infectious Disease Modelling·Salihu Sabiu MusaDaihai He
Mar 18, 2021·PloS One·Isabella LocatelliValentin Rousson
Jun 3, 2021·JMIRx Med·Eduardo Atem De Carvalho, Rogerio Atem De Carvalho
Jun 5, 2021·South African Family Practice : Official Journal of the South African Academy of Family Practice/Primary Care·Oladele V Adeniyi, Dominique K Kayembe
Jul 3, 2021·Diagnostics·Nora El-RashidyShaker El-Sappagh
Jun 30, 2021·Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals·Mohamed Amouch, Noureddine Karim
Aug 15, 2021·Journal of Theoretical Biology·Shi ZhaoMaggie H Wang
Aug 28, 2021·Entropy·Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva, Carlos Alberto de Bragança Pereira

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

R package ' EpiEstim '
R

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.