Evidence of a current and lasting national anesthesia personnel shortfall: scope and implications

Mayo Clinic Proceedings
Armin SchubertA Kuhel

Abstract

To prove the existence of a current anesthesiologist shortage, and to project the balance of labor supply and demand in the future. To quantify the current supply we used published health personnel data from federal agencies and the American Medical Association, as well as membership data from the American Society of Anesthesiologists. We estimated anesthesiologist supply in 2001 based on the number of graduating residents and fellows, taking into account the loss of a portion of graduating residents due to temporary visa status. We assumed that neither a shortage nor an oversupply existed in 1994 and that demand for anesthesiologists was approximated by the number of surgical procedures reported by federal agencies. In modeling future supply and demand for anesthesiologists, we assumed that the current health care policy and economic climates will continue. We extrapolated demand using 1.5% to 3% yearly growth rates based on a synthesis of recent and projected procedure growth rates, procedure rates for the elderly, and population aging trends. We estimated the supply for 2001 through 2003 based on the current resident cohort modified by their projected graduation rate. Accounting for attrition during residency and the effect ...Continue Reading

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Citations

Oct 19, 2001·Mayo Clinic Proceedings·R D Miller, W L Lanier
Sep 20, 2011·Best Practice & Research. Clinical Anaesthesiology·Stephanie Alison WardBarbara Workman
Nov 24, 2006·Mayo Clinic Proceedings·Eric L BloomfieldMichael J Murray
Feb 13, 2002·Mayo Clinic Proceedings·Douglas B Coursin, Jeffrey S Vender
Dec 2, 2008·Anesthesiology Clinics·Catherine A McIntosh, Alex Macario
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Aug 26, 2009·Journal of Vascular Surgery·Bhagwan SatianiMichael R Go
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Sep 24, 2004·Anesthesia and Analgesia·Kevin K TremperAlan R Tait
Apr 23, 2003·Anesthesia and Analgesia·Kevin K TremperSuzanne T Anderson
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Jan 23, 2003·Anesthesia and Analgesia·Joseph W SzokolJeffery S Vender
Jun 17, 2021·Ciência & saúde coletiva·Diana Fernandes LopesEduardo Anselmo de Castro

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