PMID: 11327186May 1, 2001Paper

Examining developmental trajectories in adolescent alcohol use using piecewise growth mixture modeling analysis

Journal of Studies on Alcohol
F LiH Hops

Abstract

This study examined issues of heterogeneity in multiple stage development as it corresponds to qualitatively different developmental trajectories in alcohol use during adolescence. Using a piecewise growth mixture modeling methodology, a two-piece growth model capturing growth trajectories in adolescent alcohol use from middle school (Grades 6 through 8) to high school (Grades 9 through 12) was examined (N = 179; 54% male). It was hypothesized that (1) two stages of alcohol use development with varying trajectories would exist in these data (the first corresponding to development during middle school, followed by a second stage of continuing growth during high school) and (2) there would be multiple growth trajectories (subgroups) of alcohol use in the stage-wise development, with varying effects in initial alcohol use and growth rates of alcohol use. Results indicated the tenability of the two-piece growth model of alcohol use with heterogeneity in the population comprising two distinct latent developmental trajectory classes. Class 1, with a high initial status of alcohol use at Grade 6, showed an upward increase in trajectory only during high school. Class 2, with a low initial status of alcohol use at Grade 6, showed a line...Continue Reading

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