Forecasting the response to global warming in a heat-sensitive species

Scientific Reports
Francesca BrivioSimone Ciuti

Abstract

Avoiding hyperthermia entails considerable metabolic costs for endotherms. Such costs increase in warm conditions, when endotherms may trade food intake for cooler areas to avoid heat stress and maximize their energy balance. The need to reduce heat stress may involve the adoption of tactics affecting space use and foraging behaviour, which are important to understand and predict the effects of climate change and inform conservation. We used resource selection models to examine the behavioural response to heat stress in the Alpine ibex (Capra ibex), a cold-adapted endotherm particularly prone to overheating. Ibex avoided heat stress by selecting the space based on the maximum daily temperature rather than moving hourly to 'surf the heat wave', which minimised movement costs but prevented optimal foraging. By integrating these findings with new climate forecasts, we predict that rising temperatures will force mountain ungulates to move upward and overcrowd thermal refugia with reduced carrying capacity. Our approach helps in identifying priority areas for the conservation of mountain species.

Associated Datasets

References

Jan 1, 1982·Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology. A, Comparative Physiology·W R Dawson
Sep 1, 1999·Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice·A S Karson, D W Bates
Sep 27, 2003·Journal of Animal Physiology and Animal Nutrition·B BassanoA Peracino
Oct 17, 2003·Proceedings. Biological Sciences·Stephen E WilliamsSamantha Fox
Nov 17, 2007·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences·Atle MysterudNils Chr Stenseth
Feb 12, 2010·Nature·Richard H MossThomas J Wilbanks
Nov 1, 2005·Ecology Letters·Robert J WilsonVíctor J Monserrat
May 1, 2005·Ecology Letters·Arndt Hampe, Rémy J Petit
Sep 15, 2012·The American Naturalist·Richard BischofAtle Mysterud
May 17, 2013·The Journal of Experimental Biology·Creagh W BreunerH Arthur Woods
Feb 7, 2014·The Journal of Animal Ecology·Subhash R LeleMark S Boyce
Mar 7, 2014·Global Change Biology·Jessica G ErnakovichMatthew D Wallenstein
Jun 6, 2014·Biology Letters·Natalie J BriscoeMichael R Kearney
Oct 23, 2014·International Journal of Biometeorology·Alex Sandro Campos MaiaHerica Girlane Tertulino Domingos
Dec 19, 2014·Movement Ecology·Henrik ThurfjellMark S Boyce
Sep 17, 2016·Global Change Biology·Evan P TannerJeremy P Orange
Dec 1, 2002·Oecologia·Kerri L Oseen, Richard J Wassersug

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

randomForest
MuMIn
Leica
ArcGIS
lme4
R
ibex

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.