Health changes and smoking: an economic analysis

Substance Use & Misuse
Andrew Clark, Fabrice Etilé

Abstract

This article considers dynamic models of smoking under uncertainty, wherein individuals learn about the associated risks both through experimentation and observation. We use smokers' changes in self-reported health in long-run household panel data as an individualized measure of information about how dangerous smoking is for them. We find that own past health changes while smoking are often positively correlated with current cigarette consumption, implying learning. However, other household members' health changes have only a weak effect. We emphasize individual heterogeneity, using both fixed effects in the analysis of cigarette consumption and age and sex differences in how individuals react to health changes. We conclude that smokers do indeed react to personalized health information (but not necessarily from generalized information) and modify their behavior accordingly. The way in which they react differs sharply by sex and by age, suggesting that aggregate correlations may be misleading.

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Citations

Nov 23, 2007·Journal of Addictive Diseases·Monica Ortendahl, Per Näsman
Jul 7, 2007·International Journal of Gynaecology and Obstetrics : the Official Organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics·P Näsman, M Ortendahl
May 16, 2014·Preventive Medicine·Leigh Ann LeungAmal N Trivedi

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