Heterogeneity and irregularity of pretreatment 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography improved prognostic stratification of p16-negative high-risk squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx
Abstract
Human papillomavirus-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) has unfavorable survival outcomes. Two outcomes have been identified based on smoking history and tumor stage. We investigate the prognostic role of pre-treatment positron emission tomography (PET) in high-risk OPSCC. We enrolled 147 M0 OPSCC patients with p16-negative staining and a history of heavy smoking (>10 pack-years) or T4 disease. All patients completed primary chemoradiotherapy, and 42% maximum standard uptake values (SUVmax) were used as the threshold for primary tumor. Patients were classified into training and validation cohorts with a ratio of 1:1.5 according to the PET date. Heterogeneity and irregularity indices were obtained. PET parameters with significant impact on progression-free survival (PFS) in receiver operating characteristic curves and univariate Cox models were identified and included in recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) for constructing a prognostic model. The RPA-based prognostic model was further tested in the validation cohort using multivariate Cox models. Fifty-eight and 89 patients were in the training and validation groups, respectively. Heterogeneity parameter, SUV-entropy (derived from histogram analysis), and i...Continue Reading
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