Hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus infection in young children: development of a clinical prediction rule

The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
E RietveldRSV Study Group Southwest Netherlands

Abstract

Because passive immunization against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is costly, its use should be restricted to well-defined groups of high risk children. We aimed to develop a clinical prediction rule that estimates the individual monthly risk of hospitalization for RSV infection in young children. A retrospective cohort study was conducted in the southwestern part of The Netherlands. We included children born between January 1, 1996 and December 31, 1998. Children hospitalized for proven RSV infection were compared with children not hospitalized for RSV infection. The monthly risk was estimated with a logistic regression model including 5 clinical predictors (gender, gestational age, birth weight, presence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia and age) and the mean seasonal monthly pattern of RSV infections. We compared the predictive performance of the prediction rule with the guidelines of the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP). Information was collected on 2469 hospitalized children and 140,661 children who were 1,181,790 months at risk. All predictors were statistically significant, with age and the seasonal monthly RSV pattern having the strongest effects. The clinical prediction rule that included these predictors could bet...Continue Reading

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Apr 12, 2013·Clinical Reviews in Allergy & Immunology·Andrea T BorchersLaurel J Gershwin
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