How the public imagines the energy future: Exploring and clustering non-experts' techno-economic expectations towards the future energy system.

PloS One
Lukas BraunreiterYann Benedict Blumer

Abstract

Various countries have pledged to carry out system-wide energy transitions to address climate change. This requires taking strategic decisions with long-term consequences under conditions of considerable uncertainty. For this reason, many actors in the energy sector develop model-based scenarios to guide debates and decision-making about plausible future energy systems. Besides being a decision support instrument for policy-makers, energy scenarios are widely recognized as a way of shaping the expectations of experts and of influencing energy policy more generally. However, relatively little is known about how energy scenarios shape preferences and expectations of the public. We use an explorative research design to assess the publics' expectations of future energy systems through an online survey among Swiss residents (N = 797). We identified four significantly different clusters of people with distinct expectations about the future energy system, each seeing different implications for the acceptability of energy policies and the compatibility with projections of techno-economic energy scenarios. Cluster 1 expects a system-wide energy transition towards renewable energy sources that is similar to the policy-relevant national e...Continue Reading

References

Jun 10, 2011·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Corinne MoserRoland W Scholz
Jul 9, 2013·Public Understanding of Science·Nidhi GuptaLynn J Frewer
Feb 26, 2014·Environmental Science & Technology·Lauren A Fleishman MayerM Granger Morgan

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TransitionExten
SPSS
TransitionExtent

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