Illicit Cigarette Trade in Five South American Countries: A Gap Analysis for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru

Nicotine & Tobacco Research : Official Journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco
Guillermo Paraje

Abstract

Because of its nature, it is very hard to measure illicit tobacco trade in any product. In the case of Latin American countries, there is scant information on the magnitude and characteristics of this cigarette trade. The goal of this article is to provide estimates on the evolution of the illicit cigarette trade in five South American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. Gap analysis estimates for cigarette tax evasion/avoidance (a comparison on the evolution of the difference between registered cigarette sales and measured population consumption) are developed for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. Nationally representative surveys, conducted regularly, are used to measure population consumption. Confidence intervals constructed by bootstrapping sample estimates are generated to statistically evaluate the evolution of the gap. Illicit cigarette trade has increased as a percentage of total sales in Brazil in recent years. In the case of Argentina, after a relative decrease between 2005 and 2009, it seems to have stabilized. There is no statistical evidence to argue that there has been an increase of illicit cigarette trade in Chile, Colombia, and Peru, despite substantial price increases in Chile...Continue Reading

References

Nov 3, 2005·Nature Clinical Practice. Oncology·Vincent T DeVita
Jul 13, 2006·PLoS Medicine·Kelley Lee, Jeff Collin
Sep 29, 2011·Tobacco Control·Andrew B SeidenbergGregory N Connolly
Jun 25, 2013·Tobacco Control·Evan BlecherJohanna Birckmayer
Apr 12, 2015·Archivos de cardiología de México·Alfredo de Micheli
Jan 23, 2016·Tobacco Control·Roberto Magno IglesiasLiz Maria de Almeida
Mar 16, 2018·Tobacco Control·Norman MaldonadoDiego Escobar

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Citations

Aug 7, 2019·Tobacco Control·Nicole VelliosHana Ross
May 10, 2020·Tobacco Control·Hien Thi Thu NguyenToan Ngoc Pham
Jul 9, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·S M AbdullahKamran Siddiqi
Apr 10, 2021·Tobacco Control·Maria Elisabet PizarroMichal Stoklosa

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