In the right place at the right time: habitat representation in protected areas of South American Nothofagus-dominated plants after a dispersal constrained climate change scenario

PloS One
Diego Alarcón, Lohengrin A Cavieres

Abstract

In order to assess the effects of climate change in temperate rainforest plants in southern South America in terms of habitat size, representation in protected areas, considering also if the expected impacts are similar for dominant trees and understory plant species, we used niche modeling constrained by species migration on 118 plant species, considering two groups of dominant trees and two groups of understory ferns. Representation in protected areas included Chilean national protected areas, private protected areas, and priority areas planned for future reserves, with two thresholds for minimum representation at the country level: 10% and 17%. With a 10% representation threshold, national protected areas currently represent only 50% of the assessed species. Private reserves are important since they increase up to 66% the species representation level. Besides, 97% of the evaluated species may achieve the minimum representation target only if the proposed priority areas were included. With the climate change scenario representation levels slightly increase to 53%, 69%, and 99%, respectively, to the categories previously mentioned. Thus, the current location of all the representation categories is useful for overcoming climate...Continue Reading

References

Mar 8, 2000·Nature·N MyersJ Kent
Mar 10, 2000·Science·O E SalaD H Wall
May 23, 2000·Nature·C R Margules, R L Pressey
Apr 13, 2001·Trends in Ecology & Evolution·M Cabeza, A Moilanen
May 28, 2005·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Wilfried ThuillerI Colin Prentice
Oct 25, 2006·The Journal of Chemical Physics·Hender LópezArnaldo Donoso
Jan 5, 2008·Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology·Miguel B AraújoJuan C Moreno
Jun 10, 2008·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Sarah F Jackson, Kevin J Gaston
Aug 22, 2009·Trends in Ecology & Evolution·Alistair S JumpJosep Peñuelas
Oct 14, 2009·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·John A WiensMark A Snyder
Nov 10, 2009·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Niklaus E ZimmermannPeter B Pearman
Mar 2, 2011·Journal of Pineal Research·Pablo Solís-MuñozInmaculada García Ruiz
Mar 31, 2011·Ecology Letters·Miguel B AraújoWilfried Thuiller
Oct 22, 2011·Trends in Ecology & Evolution·Rosemary G GillespieGeorge K Roderick
Jan 3, 2013·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Aija S Kukkala, Atte Moilanen

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Methods Mentioned

BETA
GAM

Software Mentioned

stats R - based
MIGCLIM R - package
BIOMOD
MIGCLIM
NPA
WorldClim
BIOMOD R - package
raster R based

Related Concepts

Related Feeds

Cell Migration

Cell migration is involved in a variety of physiological and pathological processes such as embryonic development, cancer metastasis, blood vessel formation and remoulding, tissue regeneration, immune surveillance and inflammation. Here is the latest research.