PMID: 8939028Nov 1, 1996Paper

Indices for performance evaluation of predictive models in food microbiology

The Journal of Applied Bacteriology
T Ross

Abstract

Two complementary measures are proposed as simple indices of the performance of models in predictive food microbiology. The indices assess the level of confidence one can have in the predictions of the model and whether the model displays any bias which could lead to 'fail-dangerous' predictions. The use of the indices is demonstrated using data collated from independent and published literature. This analysis supports previous reports that evaluation of predictive models by comparison to published microbial growth rate data may be inappropriate because of limitations in that data. The indices may fail to reveal some forms of systematic deviation between observed and predicted behaviour. It is concluded, however, that the indices provide an objective and readily interpreted summary of model performance and may serve as a first step towards the development of an objective and useful definition of the term 'validated model' in predictive food microbiology.

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Citations

Feb 23, 2011·Applied Biochemistry and Biotechnology·Yulong GaoQiang Fu
May 28, 2004·International Journal of Food Microbiology·Olaug Taran SkjerdalJames D Berg
Feb 7, 2014·The Journal of Microbiology·Dorota ZielińskaIlona Motyl
Jan 16, 2014·Food Chemistry·Sorel Tchewonpi SaguSirshendu De
Mar 20, 1998·International Journal of Food Microbiology·P DalgaardH H Huss
Mar 4, 2014·International Journal of Food Microbiology·Guiomar D Posada-IzquierdoGonzalo Zurera
Feb 15, 2014·Journal of Microbiological Methods·Jingjing ZhaoXingmin Li
Dec 3, 2013·International Journal of Food Microbiology·József BaranyiJudit Beczner
Apr 18, 2013·International Journal of Food Microbiology·Juan S AguirreGonzalo D García de Fernando
Dec 3, 2014·International Journal of Food Microbiology·Anthoula A ArgyriGeorge-John E Nychas
Oct 31, 2000·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·S TienungoonT Ross
Apr 3, 2001·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·K Koutsoumanis
Apr 25, 2001·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·L ZhaoD W Schaffner
Feb 13, 2007·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·Bernadette KlotzBernard M Mackey
Dec 7, 2010·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·Shige KosekiItaru Sotome
Jan 5, 2011·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·K ZhouJ Baranyi
Nov 25, 2003·Letters in Applied Microbiology·A Jagannath, T Tsuchido
Mar 17, 2007·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Arnout R StandaertAnnemie H Geeraerd
Nov 6, 2015·BioMed Research International·María-Leonor PlaAlfredo Palop
Dec 3, 1999·Journal of Applied Microbiology·C PinJ Baranyi
Aug 2, 2005·International Journal of Food Microbiology·R M García-GimenoG Zurera-Cosano
Jan 1, 2008·Meat Science·George-John E NychasKonstantinos P Koutsoumanis
Apr 23, 2014·Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture·Juhee AhnV M Balasubramaniam
Jun 5, 2013·Food Science and Technology International = Ciencia Y Tecnología De Los Alimentos Internacional·Anna SípkováDenisa Liptáková
Feb 13, 2016·Food Science and Technology International = Ciencia Y Tecnología De Los Alimentos Internacional·Sandra VegaAntonio Martínez
Aug 4, 2016·Polish Journal of Veterinary Sciences·J SzczawińskiA Jackowska-Tracz
Oct 14, 2017·Journal of Food Protection·Salina ParveenMark L Tamplin
Oct 8, 2014·Polish Journal of Veterinary Sciences·J SzczawińskiA Jackowska-Tracz

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