PMID: 9549880Apr 29, 1998Paper

Integrating base rate data in violence risk assessments at capital sentencing

Behavioral Sciences & the Law
Mark D Cunningham, Thomas J Reidy

Abstract

Prediction of violence in capital sentencing has been controversial. In the absence of a scientific basis for risk assessment, mental health professionals offering opinions in the capital sentencing context are prone to errors. Actuarial or group statistical data, known as base rates, have proven far superior to other methods for reducing predictive errors in many contexts, including risk assessment. Actuarial follow-up data on violent recidivism of capital murderers in prison and post release have been compiled and analyzed to demonstrate available base rates for use by mental health experts conducting risk assessments pertaining to capital sentencing. This paper also reviews various methods for individualizing the application of base rates to specific cases.

Citations

May 4, 2005·Law and Human Behavior·John F EdensChristine Anthony
Mar 24, 2007·Law and Human Behavior·Mark Douglas Cunningham, Jon R Sorensen
Jun 22, 2005·Behavioral Sciences & the Law·Mark D CunninghamJon R Sorensen
Aug 23, 2017·Journal of Human Kinetics·Ronald L SnarrMichael R Esco
Apr 30, 2002·Behavioral Sciences & the Law·Mark D Cunningham, Mark P Vigen
Nov 26, 2010·Behavioral Sciences & the Law·Mark D CunninghamS O Woods
Apr 25, 2013·Behavioral Sciences & the Law·Thomas J ReidyMark D Cunningham
Mar 3, 2020·Frontiers in Psychiatry·Karoline KlingerJan Bulla

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