Integrating broad-scale data to assess demographic and climatic contributions to population change in a declining songbird

Ecology and Evolution
James F Saracco, Madeleine Rubenstein

Abstract

Climate variation and trends affect species distribution and abundance across large spatial extents. However, most studies that predict species response to climate are implemented at small spatial scales or are based on occurrence-environment relationships that lack mechanistic detail. Here, we develop an integrated population model (IPM) for multi-site count and capture-recapture data for a declining migratory songbird, Wilson's warbler (Cardellina pusilla), in three genetically distinct breeding populations in western North America. We include climate covariates of vital rates, including spring temperatures on the breeding grounds, drought on the wintering range in northwest Mexico, and wind conditions during spring migration. Spring temperatures were positively related to productivity in Sierra Nevada and Pacific Northwest genetic groups, and annual changes in productivity were important predictors of changes in growth rate in these populations. Drought condition on the wintering grounds was a strong predictor of adult survival for coastal California and Sierra Nevada populations; however, adult survival played a relatively minor role in explaining annual variation in population change. A latent parameter representing a mixt...Continue Reading

References

Apr 9, 2005·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences·S T BucklandR M Fewster
Apr 9, 2005·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences·Richard D GregoryDavid W Gibbons
May 17, 2006·Trends in Ecology & Evolution·Mark S Boyce The Nceas Stochastic Demography Working Group
May 1, 2010·Science·Stuart H M ButchartReg Watson
May 21, 2010·Ecology Letters·Lauren B BuckleyMichael W Sears
Aug 19, 2010·Ecology·James F SaraccoBeth Gardner
Apr 2, 2011·Science·Terence P DawsonGeorgina M Mace
Apr 9, 2011·Trends in Ecology & Evolution·Sean M McMahonI Colin Prentice
Jun 12, 2012·Journal of Theoretical Biology·Michael U KempWillem Bouten
Mar 22, 2014·Ecology·Elise F ZipkinJ Andrew Royle
Aug 27, 2014·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Katherine E SelwoodRalph Mac Nally
Oct 15, 2014·Biometrics·Emily B DennisMartin S Ridout
Oct 28, 2014·Molecular Ecology·Kristen C RueggThomas B Smith
Apr 23, 2015·Ecology Letters·Callum R LawsonMartijn van de Pol
Apr 2, 2016·Science·Philip A StephensStephen G Willis
Dec 31, 2016·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Farshid S AhrestaniJ Andrew Royle
Mar 21, 2017·Nature Communications·Bradley K WoodworthD Ryan Norris
Jul 4, 2017·Biometrics·Richard J BarkerJohn R Sauer
Jul 5, 2017·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·David N KoonsMichael Schaub
Jul 12, 2017·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Gerardo CeballosRodolfo Dirzo
Nov 15, 2017·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Jacob B SocolarMorgan W Tingley
May 11, 2018·Scientific Reports·Scott WilsonKenneth R Foster

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Mar 24, 2021·The Journal of Animal Ecology·Sarah P SaundersChad B Wilsey

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

RNCEP
ClimateNA
JAGS
jagsUI
R

Related Concepts

Related Feeds

Cell Migration

Cell migration is involved in a variety of physiological and pathological processes such as embryonic development, cancer metastasis, blood vessel formation and remoulding, tissue regeneration, immune surveillance and inflammation. Here is the latest research.