PMID: 22587150May 17, 2012Paper

Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control

Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
L D ValdezL A Braunstein

Abstract

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time t(b). We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σ(c) beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a "susceptible herd behavior" that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.

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Citations

Oct 3, 2012·PloS One·Lucas Daniel ValdezLidia Adriana Braunstein
Dec 24, 2013·Journal of Statistical Physics·Ilker TuncLeah B Shaw
Jul 28, 2015·Physics of Life Reviews·Zhen WangChris T Bauch
Oct 25, 2016·Physics of Life Reviews·Gui-Quan SunZhen Wang
Feb 10, 2016·PloS One·Jin-Hee Cho, Jianxi Gao
Dec 23, 2016·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Frederik VerelstPhilippe Beutels
Jul 7, 2016·Scientific Reports·Wei WangH Eugene Stanley
Dec 3, 2016·Scientific Reports·Lei GaoHai-Feng Zhang
Apr 15, 2016·Physical Review. E·Takehisa Hasegawa, Koji Nemoto
Nov 30, 2019·Chaos·Jiajun XianZhen Wang
Aug 25, 2020·Quality & Quantity·James A DanowskiKen Riopelle
Jan 14, 2017·Physical Review. E·Bin WuDa Zhou
Oct 16, 2015·Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics·Stojan TrajanovskiPiet Van Mieghem
Feb 9, 2017·Reports on Progress in Physics·Wei WangLidia A Braunstein
Sep 19, 2020·Physical Review. E·Ignacio A PerezLidia A Braunstein
Jul 15, 2016·Physical Review. E·Masaki Ogura, Victor M Preciado
Oct 13, 2020·PloS One·Pinar KeskinocakNicoleta Serban
Mar 9, 2021·Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination·Gregory GutinAlexis Akira Toda
Nov 16, 2013·Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics·Dongchao GuoPiet Van Mieghem
Nov 16, 2013·Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics·Yilei BuHarriet L Mills
Jun 30, 2021·Nature Human Behaviour·Jamie BedsonBenjamin M Althouse
Jul 20, 2021·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Kathryn L SchaberValerie A Paz-Soldan

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