Investigating changes in mortality attributable to heat and cold in Stockholm, Sweden

International Journal of Biometeorology
Daniel Oudin ÅströmAntonio Gasparrini

Abstract

Projections of temperature-related mortality rely upon exposure-response relationships using recent data. Analyzing long historical data and trends may extend knowledge of past and present impacts that may provide additional insight and improve future scenarios. We collected daily mean temperatures and daily all-cause mortality for the period 1901-2013 for Stockholm County, Sweden, and calculated the total attributable fraction of mortality due to non-optimal temperatures and quantified the contribution of cold and heat. Total mortality attributable to non-optimal temperatures varied between periods and cold consistently had a larger impact on mortality than heat. Cold-related attributable fraction (AF) remained stable over time whereas heat-related AF decreased. AF on cold days remained stable over time, which may indicate that mortality during colder months may not decline as temperatures increase in the future. More research is needed to enhance estimates of burdens related to cold and heat in the future.

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Citations

Oct 3, 2019·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Sofia ZafeiratouKlea Katsouyanni
May 1, 2019·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Scott C SheridanMichael J Allen
Apr 24, 2019·International Journal of Biometeorology·Jian ChengWenbiao Hu
Oct 28, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Kerstin PfeiferAnna Oudin
Jan 9, 2021·International Journal of Biometeorology·Elisaveta P PetkovaAntonio Gasparrini
Jun 8, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Apolline SaucyMartin Röösli
Nov 6, 2021·International Journal of Biometeorology·Andreea-Sabina ScripcăSimona Fratianni

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