Modeling risk assessment for breast cancer in symptomatic women: a Saudi Arabian study

Cancer Management and Research
Anwar E AhmedAbdul Rahman Jazieh

Abstract

Despite the continuing increase in the breast cancer incidence rate among Saudi Arabian women, no breast cancer risk-prediction model is available in this population. The aim of this research was to develop a risk-assessment tool to distinguish between high risk and low risk of breast cancer in a sample of Saudi women who were screened for breast cancer. A retrospective chart review was conducted on symptomatic women who underwent breast mass biopsies between September 8, 2015 and November 8, 2017 at King Abdulaziz Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. A total of 404 (63.8%) malignant breast biopsies and 229 (36.2%) benign breast biopsies were analyzed. Women ≥40 years old (aOR: 6.202, CI 3.497-11.001, P=0.001), hormone-replacement therapy (aOR 24.365, 95% CI 8.606-68.987, P=0.001), postmenopausal (aOR 3.058, 95% CI 1.861-5.024, P=0.001), and with a family history of breast cancer (aOR 2.307, 95% CI 1.142-4.658, P=0.020) were independently associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. This model showed an acceptable fit and had area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.877 (95% CI 0.851-0.903), with optimism-corrected area under the curve of 0.865. The prediction model developed in this study has a high ab...Continue Reading

Citations

Sep 29, 2020·Risk Management and Healthcare Policy·Anwar E AhmedHamdan Al-Jahdali
Mar 20, 2020·Current Pharmaceutical Biotechnology·Sarah AlbogamiAfnan Alattas

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Methods Mentioned

BETA
biopsy
hormone-replacement therapy

Software Mentioned

STATA

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