Modelling land use change with generalized linear models--a multi-model analysis of change between 1860 and 2000 in Gallatin Valley, Montana

Journal of Environmental Management
R J Aspinall

Abstract

This paper develops an approach to modelling land use change that links model selection and multi-model inference with empirical models and GIS. Land use change is frequently studied, and understanding gained, through a process of modelling that is an empirical analysis of documented changes in land cover or land use patterns. The approach here is based on analysis and comparison of multiple models of land use patterns using model selection and multi-model inference. The approach is illustrated with a case study of rural housing as it has developed for part of Gallatin County, Montana, USA. A GIS contains the location of rural housing on a yearly basis from 1860 to 2000. The database also documents a variety of environmental and socio-economic conditions. A general model of settlement development describes the evolution of drivers of land use change and their impacts in the region. This model is used to develop a series of different models reflecting drivers of change at different periods in the history of the study area. These period specific models represent a series of multiple working hypotheses describing (a) the effects of spatial variables as a representation of social, economic and environmental drivers of land use chan...Continue Reading

References

Sep 26, 2002·International Journal of Geographical Information Science : IJGIS·K C Clarke, L J Gaydos

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Citations

Oct 14, 2009·Journal of Environmental Management·Keshav BhattaraiMahmoud Yousef
Jan 24, 2007·The Science of the Total Environment·Christopher J A MacleodPhilip M Haygarth
Jul 13, 2004·Journal of Environmental Management·A Veldkamp, P H Verburg
Jul 11, 2006·Journal of Environmental Management·Hualou LongGerhard K Heilig
Jun 4, 2016·Environmental Monitoring and Assessment·Manish P KaleY V N Krishna Murthy
Aug 26, 2009·Ground Water·Ian A MagruderSteve W Running
Oct 6, 2010·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Dimitri Van de VilleChristoph M Michel
Jul 21, 2015·Magnetic Resonance in Medicine : Official Journal of the Society of Magnetic Resonance in Medicine·Huangjing NiUNKNOWN Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI)
Oct 19, 2020·Environmental Monitoring and Assessment·Vimha RitseNabajit Hazarika
Feb 20, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Rong WuShaojian Wang

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