More doctors, but not enough: Australian medical workforce supply 2001-2012.

The Medical Journal of Australia
Catherine M JoyceJohannes U Stoelwinder

Abstract

To project the future size of the Australian medical workforce, from 2001 to 2012. Stochastic simulation modelling of the Australian medical workforce, taking into account recent increases in medical school capacity and trends in the intake of foreign graduates. Number of full-time equivalent (FTE) medical practitioners per 100,000 persons within various occupation groups from 2001 (baseline) to 2012. The total medical workforce was projected to rise from 53,384 in 2001 to 67,659 by 2012 (95% CI, 63,924-71,036). On a per capita basis, the number of FTE clinicians was projected to rise from 331 per 100,000 persons in 2001 to 382 (95% CI, 359-403) per 100,000 persons in 2012. The general practice workforce was projected to fall from 133 FTE general practitioners per 100,000 persons in 2001, to 129 per 100,000 persons in 2003, and then remain at around this level through to 2012. The specialist workforce was projected to show steady growth, rising from 162 FTE specialists per 100,000 persons in 2001 to 206 (95% CI, 194-218) per 100,000 persons in 2012. The general practice workforce is likely to face continued chronic shortages, necessitating innovative policy responses to ensure that the community's need for primary medical care ...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jul 4, 2006·The Medical Journal of Australia·Michael R KiddNaomi J Cole
Jul 4, 2006·The Medical Journal of Australia·Christopher B Del Mar, Naomi Dwyer
Jul 4, 2006·The Medical Journal of Australia·Richard B Murray, Ian Wronski
Jul 18, 2006·The Medical Journal of Australia·Ruth M Armstrong, Martin B Van Der Weyden
Jul 18, 2006·The Medical Journal of Australia·Claire L Jackson
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Feb 16, 2019·Israel Journal of Health Policy Research·Yishay WasserstrumArnon Afek
Apr 21, 2007·Journal of Advanced Nursing·Jillian IrelandJan Caldow
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Jul 20, 2007·The Medical Journal of Australia·Marie-Louise B DickSusan J Garside
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Jun 17, 2009·The Medical Journal of Australia·Ian A Scott
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