Novel Corona virus disease infection in Tunisia: Mathematical model and the impact of the quarantine strategy

Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals
Haifa Ben Fredj, Farouk Chérif

Abstract

Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is an extremely serious infection with an extremely high death rate worldwide. In March, the disease was declared a "global pandemic" by the World Health Organization (WHO). Until now, there is no known vaccine or drug, since the unknown things related to the disease are more important than our theoretical and empirical knowledge. However, mathematical modeling and the estimation of the basic number of reproductions can provide clarifications in order to determine the potential and severity of this epidemic and therefore provide essential information to identify the type of measures and interventions to be taken to control the intensity of the spread of the disease. Hence, in this paper, we propose a new deterministic compartmental model based on the clinical progression of the disease, the epidemiological state of the individuals and the intervention for the dynamics of COVID-19 infections. Our approach consists of seven phenotypes: the susceptible humans, exposed humans, infectious humans, the recovered humans, the quarantine population, there recovered-exposed and deceased population. We proved first through mathematical approach the positivity, boundness and existence of a solution to the con...Continue Reading

Citations

Jan 28, 2021·The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews·Jacob BurnsEva Rehfuess
Mar 26, 2021·The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews·Jacob BurnsEva Rehfuess
Aug 31, 2020·Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals·Efim PelinovskyAnastasia Epifanova
Jun 22, 2021·Results in Physics·Wael W MohammedE M Elabbasy
Jul 27, 2021·Biomedical Signal Processing and Control·Roozbeh AbolpourMaryam Dehghani

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