Opportunities for climate-risk reduction through effective fisheries management

Global Change Biology
William W L CheungThomas L Frölicher

Abstract

Risk of impact of marine fishes to fishing and climate change (including ocean acidification) depend on the species' ecological and biological characteristics, as well as their exposure to over-exploitation and climate hazards. These human-induced hazards should be considered concurrently in conservation risk assessment. In this study, we aim to examine the combined contributions of climate change and fishing to the risk of impacts of exploited fishes, and the scope for climate-risk reduction from fisheries management. We combine fuzzy logic expert system with species distribution modeling to assess the extinction risks of climate and fishing impacts of 825 exploited marine fish species across the global ocean. We compare our calculated risk index with extinction risk of marine species assessed by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). Our results show that 60% (499 species) of the assessed species are projected to experience very high risk from both overfishing and climate change under a "business-as-usual" scenario (RCP 8.5 with current status of fisheries) by 2050. The risk index is significantly and positively related to level of IUCN extinction risk (ordinal logistic regression, p < 0.0001). Furthermore...Continue Reading

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Citations

Nov 18, 2018·Journal of Fish Biology·Faye Moyes, Anne E Magurran
Aug 20, 2019·Environmental Monitoring and Assessment·Barbara Sowińska-Świerkosz, Marcin Kolejko
Jun 13, 2019·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Heike K LotzeBoris Worm
Jun 13, 2020·Global Change Biology·Lisa A LevinMoriaki Yasuhara
Jul 25, 2020·Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology·Ellycia Harrould-Kolieb
Sep 30, 2021·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Mark R PayneJohn K Pinnegar

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