PMID: 18187792Jan 12, 2008Paper

Patterns of malaria: cause-specific and all-cause mortality in a malaria-endemic area of west Africa

The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Heiko BecherOlaf Müller

Abstract

Information on cause-specific mortality is sparse in sub-Saharan Africa. We present seasonal patterns of malaria and all-cause mortality from a longitudinal study with 60,000 individuals in rural northwestern Burkina Faso. The study is based on a demographic surveillance system and covers the period 1999-2003. Overall, 3,492 deaths were observed. Cause of death was ascertained by verbal autopsy. Age-specific death rates by cause and month of death were calculated. Seasonal and temporal trends were modeled with parametric Poisson regression. Infant and children less than 5 years of age mortality was 60.6 (95% CI, 56.2-65.3) and 31.9 (95% CI, 30.4-33.5) per 1,000 for all causes and 23.4 (95% CI, 20.7-26.4) and 13.3 (95% CI, 12.3-14.3) for malaria, respectively. Mortality was significantly higher in the rainy season. It is well described parametrically with a sinusoidal function. In adults, the highest all-cause mortality rates were observed in the dry season. Here, HIV/AIDS has become a leading cause of mortality.

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