Population stress: A spatiotemporal analysis of population change and land development at the county level in the contiguous United States, 2001-2011

Land Use Policy
Guangqing Chi, Hung Chak Ho

Abstract

The past century has witnessed rapidly increasing population-land conflicts due to exponential population growth and its many consequences. Although the measures of population-land conflicts are many, there lacks a model that appropriately considers both the social and physical contexts of population-land conflicts. In this study we introduce the concept of population stress, which identifies areas with populations growing faster than the lands available for sustainable development. Specifically, population stress areas are identified by comparing population growth and land development as measured by land developability in the contiguous United States from 2001 to 2011. Our approach is based on a combination of spatial multicriteria analysis, zonal statistics, and spatiotemporal modeling. We found that the population growth of a county is associated with the decrease of land developability, along with the spatial influences of surrounding counties. The Midwest and the traditional "Deep South" counties would have less population stress with future land development, whereas the Southeast Coast, Washington State, Northern Texas, and the Southwest would face more stress due to population growth that is faster than the loss of suita...Continue Reading

References

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Jun 8, 2017·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Moses WongJean Woo

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Citations

Jul 18, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Luwen LiuXinyue Ye
May 1, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Fengjian GeJiangfeng Li
Mar 10, 2020·Journal of Environmental Management·E A Ojeda OlivaresT K Takaro

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