PMID: 15374239May 1, 1995Paper

Prediction of survival in 70-year olds

Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics
B LjungquistBertil Steen

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to find predictors of 10-year survival among 70-year olds and to show that there might be more than one good set of predictors. All variables found to be significantly related to survival in univariate tests (predictors) are given a risk value (0 = no risk, 1 = risk), and classified into high-order domains. The number of domains containing predictors with risk values are then counted, giving the individual a certain risk index. The method was applied on data from the longitudinal population study of 70-year-old people in Gothenburg, Sweden, the H70-study. In a random sample of 474 men and 562 women predictors for survival over a 10-year period, from the age of 70, were selected for men and women, respectively. The predictors were classified into seven domains: socio-economic status, life style, social networks, need of help, biomarkers of ageing, physical health and cognitive function. The analysis revealed a consistent pattern in which survival was related to the number of risk domains. In the no-risk sub-sample 12.5% of the men were deceased after 10 years, in the sub-sample with five or more risk domains involved 78.0% were deceased. The corresponding figures for women were 10.0% and 60.0%. The ...Continue Reading

References

Sep 1, 1975·Experimental Aging Research·I C Siegler
Jun 1, 1992·The Gerontologist·S ShahtahmasebiG C Wenger
Jul 29, 1988·Science·J S HouseD Umberson
Dec 1, 1982·The Gerontologist·E B Palmore
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Jan 1, 1990·Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics·D J DeegJ D Curb

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Citations

Oct 23, 2012·International Emergency Nursing·Veronica VicenteBirgitta Wireklint Sundström
May 3, 2002·Scandinavian Journal of Caring Sciences·Helle WijkBertil Steen
May 1, 2004·The Journals of Gerontology. Series B, Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences·Bettina MeinowMats Thorslund
Jul 30, 2010·PLoS Medicine·Julianne Holt-LunstadJ Bradley Layton
May 20, 1999·Journal of the American Dietetic Association·A L StonerookR T George
May 14, 2008·Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology·Tor OsterbergDan Mellström

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