Prevention, adaptation, and threat denial: flooding experiences in the Netherlands

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
Ruud ZaalbergTeddy McCalley

Abstract

Delta areas such as the Netherlands are more and more at risk of future flooding due to global climate change. Motivating residents living in flood-prone areas to effectively cope with local floods may lead to minimization of material losses and loss of life. The aim of this research was to investigate whether the extent to which residents had been exposed to flooding in the past was a key factor in motivating residents to effectively cope with future flooding. We also focused on the psychological variables that mediated this relationship. We conducted a survey (N = 516) among flood victims and nonvictims. We assessed subjective experiences due to past flooding, affective and cognitive appraisals, and coping responses. Results show that victims reported stronger emotions (negative and positive), and the receipt of more social support due to past flooding than did nonvictims. Moreover, victims worry more about future flooding, perceive themselves as more vulnerable to future flooding, perceive the consequences of future flooding as more severe, and have stronger intentions to take adaptive actions in the future than nonvictims. Structural equation modeling reveals that the latter effect was fully mediated by specific experiences...Continue Reading

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Citations

May 20, 2015·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Rebecca E MorssHeather Lazrus
Dec 1, 2011·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Branden B Johnson
Mar 8, 2012·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·P BubeckJ C J H Aerts
Jun 2, 2012·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Wim KellensPhilippe De Maeyer
Mar 6, 2012·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Laura K Siebeneck, Thomas J Cova
Jul 24, 2012·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Ruud Zaalberg, Cees J H Midden
Sep 3, 2011·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Branden B Johnson
May 8, 2013·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Philip Bubeck, W J Wouter Botzen
Jan 15, 2011·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Wim KellensPhilippe De Maeyer
Jan 24, 2015·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Joop de BoerTeun Terpstra
Jul 10, 2013·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Joop de BoerTeun Terpstra
Feb 14, 2015·European Journal of Social Psychology·Sander van der Linden
Apr 5, 2016·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Eoin O'NeillJ Peter Clinch
Sep 16, 2015·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Heather LazrusAnn Bostrom
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Mar 24, 2018·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Julie L Demuth
Oct 29, 2018·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Cristóbal De La MazaInês Azevedo
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Dec 27, 2019·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Julija Michailova, Tadeusz Tyszka
Jun 17, 2020·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Sebastian Seebauer, Philipp Babcicky
Jun 16, 2017·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Kevin Fox GothamBradford Powers
Oct 24, 2017·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Alexa Tanner, Joseph Árvai
Jun 12, 2020·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Nicolás C BronfmanEliana Guic
Aug 23, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Weiwei CaoGaofeng Liu
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Nov 24, 2020·Landscape and Urban Planning·Anson T H MaLincoln Fok
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Mar 7, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Kaijing XueDingde Xu
Nov 14, 2021·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Yu HanPallab Mozumder

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