Prognosis of patients with nonspecific neck pain: development and external validation of a prediction rule for persistence of complaints

Spine
Jasper M SchellingerhoutBart W Koes

Abstract

Reanalysis of data from 3 randomized controlled trials. Development and validation of a prediction rule that estimates the probability of complaints persisting for at least 6 months in patients presenting with nonspecific neck pain in primary care. A substantial proportion of the neck pain patients will develop chronic neck pain. An important question is whether we can identify patients at risk of persistent complaints at the first consultation with the physician, based on their personal characteristics? A prediction model that quantifies prognosis in patients with nonspecific neck pain is not available. The study population consisted of a sample (n = 468) from the adult primary care population (18-70 years) in The Netherlands presenting with nonspecific neck pain. The primary outcome measure was global perceived recovery measured at 6 months of follow-up. Seventeen baseline characteristics of the patients were included in the analysis. Significant predictors were identified by multivariable backward stepwise logistic regression analysis. A score chart was constructed by using the regression coefficient estimates. The score chart was externally validated in a cohort of patients with nonspecific neck pain (n = 315), who particip...Continue Reading

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Citations

Nov 13, 2012·The Spine Journal : Official Journal of the North American Spine Society·Francisco M KovacsUNKNOWN Spanish Back Pain Research Network
Sep 11, 2012·Journal of Clinical Epidemiology·Lieke van OortArianne P Verhagen
Dec 19, 2014·International Journal of Rehabilitation Research. Internationale Zeitschrift Für Rehabilitationsforschung. Revue Internationale De Recherches De Réadaptation·Grietje E de VriesMichiel F Reneman
Jul 1, 2020·BMC Medical Research Methodology·Peter KentAlice Kongsted
Nov 7, 2019·Spine·Birgitte Lawaetz MyhrvoldNina Køpke Vøllestad
Dec 29, 2020·Journal of Clinical Epidemiology·Roel W WingbermühleEmiel van Trijffel
Dec 29, 2020·Journal of Physiotherapy·Arianne P Verhagen
May 21, 2021·BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders·Lene AasdahlOttar Vasseljen
Jul 25, 2021·Brazilian Journal of Physical Therapy·Roel W WingbermühleArianne P Verhagen
Nov 18, 2016·Musculoskeletal Science & Practice·Joan KellyMichele Sterling

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