Projecting land-use change and its consequences for biodiversity in northern Thailand.

Environmental Management
Yongyut TrisuratPeter H Verburg

Abstract

Rapid deforestation has occurred in northern Thailand over the last few decades and it is expected to continue. The government has implemented conservation policies aimed at maintaining forest cover of 50% or more and promoting agribusiness, forestry, and tourism development in the region. The goal of this paper was to analyze the likely effects of various directions of development on the region. Specific objectives were (1) to forecast land-use change and land-use patterns across the region based on three scenarios, (2) to analyze the consequences for biodiversity, and (3) to identify areas most susceptible to future deforestation and high biodiversity loss. The study combined a dynamic land-use change model (Dyna-CLUE) with a model for biodiversity assessment (GLOBIO3). The Dyna-CLUE model was used to determine the spatial patterns of land-use change for the three scenarios. The methodology developed for the Global Biodiversity Assessment Model framework (GLOBIO 3) was used to estimate biodiversity intactness expressed as the remaining relative mean species abundance (MSA) of the original species relative to their abundance in the primary vegetation. The results revealed that forest cover in 2050 would mainly persist in the w...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jul 3, 2013·Environmental Management·Kaera L CoetzerBelinda Reyers
Jul 26, 2012·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Michael NotaroJohn W Williams
Dec 22, 2015·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Huicai YangBinghui Zheng
Jul 19, 2011·Infection, Genetics and Evolution : Journal of Molecular Epidemiology and Evolutionary Genetics in Infectious Diseases·Meriadeg Ar GouilhJean-Claude Manuguerra
Jun 16, 2017·Journal of Environmental Management·Kazi Mohammad MasumHwee San Lim
Apr 7, 2020·Journal of Environmental Management·Kolluru VenkateshPulakesh Das

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