Projecting the Spatial Distribution of Possible Planted Forest Expansion in the United States

Journal of Forestry
Christopher M WadeJustine Allpress

Abstract

As the demand for forest products and carbon storage in standing timbers increases, intensive planting of forest resources is expected to increase. With the increased use of plantation practices, it is important to understand the influence that forest plot characteristics have on the likelihood of where these practices are occurring. Depending on the goals of a policy or program, increasing forest planting could be a desirable outcome or something to avoid. This study estimates a spatially explicit logistical regression function to assess the likelihood that forest plots will be planted based on physical, climate, and economic factors. The empirical results are used to project the potential spatial distribution of forest planting, at the intensive and extensive land-use margins, across illustrative future scenarios. Results from this analysis offer insight into the factors that have driven forest planting in the United States historically and the potential distribution of new forest planting in the coming decades under policy or market scenarios that incentivize improved forest productivity or certain ecosystem services provided by intensively managed systems (e.g., carbon sequestration).

References

Sep 30, 2004·Environmental Management·Ralph J Alig, Brett J Butler
Feb 4, 2010·Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology·Yoan PailletRisto Virtanen
Aug 27, 2013·Journal of Environmental Management·Francesco CherubiniAnders H Strømman
Nov 13, 2015·Scientific Reports·David N Wear, John W Coulston
Dec 27, 2016·Carbon Balance and Management·Nicklas ForsellPetr Havlik
Nov 18, 2018·Science Advances·Joseph E FargioneBronson W Griscom
Apr 8, 2019·Journal of Environmental Management·Prakash NepalFrederick W Cubbage
Feb 1, 2018·Land Economics·Xiaohui TianAllen A Fawcett

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Citations

Aug 24, 2021·Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change·Fanny Groundstroem, Sirkku Juhola

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