Rapid climate change and society: assessing responses and thresholds

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
Simon NiemeyerKersty Hobson

Abstract

Assessing the social risks associated with climate change requires an understanding of how humans will respond because it affects how well societies will adapt. In the case of rapid or dangerous climate change, of particular interest is the potential for these responses to cross thresholds beyond which they become maladaptive. To explore the possibility of such thresholds, a series of climate change scenarios were presented to U.K. participants whose subjective responses were recorded via interviews and surveyed using Q methodology. The results indicate an initially adaptive response to climate warming followed by a shift to maladaptation as the magnitude of change increases. Beyond this threshold, trust in collective action and institutions was diminished, negatively impacting adaptive capacity. Climate cooling invoked a qualitatively different response, although this may be a product of individuals being primed for warming because it has dominated public discourse. The climate change scenarios used in this research are severe by climatological standards. In reality, the observed responses might occur at a lower rate of change. Whatever the case, analysis of subjectivity has revealed potential for maladaptive human responses, ...Continue Reading

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Citations

Apr 25, 2012·Environmental Management·A Paige Fischer, Susan Charnley
Aug 29, 2012·Ambio·Lezlie C Erway Morinière, Mohammed Hamza
Sep 14, 2010·Women's Health Issues : Official Publication of the Jacobs Institute of Women's Health·Alan SchwartzMelissa Gilliam
Jul 22, 2009·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Dan VenablesKaren Parkhill
Jul 24, 2010·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Travis William ReynoldsM Granger Morgan
Jul 9, 2013·Public Understanding of Science·Kersty Hobson, Simon Niemeyer
May 8, 2013·Journal of Environmental Science and Health. Part A, Toxic/hazardous Substances & Environmental Engineering·Astrid OffermansMarjolijn Haasnoot
Dec 17, 2014·Journal of Public Health Management and Practice : JPHMP·Julie PreskittMartha S Wingate

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