Rationing social contact during the COVID-19 pandemic: Transmission risk and social benefits of US locations

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Seth G BenzellChristos Nicolaides

Abstract

To prevent the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), some types of public spaces have been shut down while others remain open. These decisions constitute a judgment about the relative danger and benefits of those locations. Using mobility data from a large sample of smartphones, nationally representative consumer preference surveys, and economic statistics, we measure the relative transmission reduction benefit and social cost of closing 26 categories of US locations. Our categories include types of shops, entertainments, and service providers. We rank categories by their trade-off of social benefits and transmission risk via dominance across 13 dimensions of risk and importance and through composite indexes. We find that, from February to March 2020, there were larger declines in visits to locations that our measures indicate should be closed first.

References

Feb 23, 2020·JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association·Yan BaiMeiyun Wang

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Citations

Aug 25, 2020·Research : a Science Partner Journal·Ming Hui ChuaXian Jun Loh
Oct 20, 2020·EMBO Molecular Medicine·Gil LoewenthalTal Pupko
Dec 6, 2020·The Science of the Total Environment·Sarai PousoMaría C Uyarra
Feb 6, 2021·Scientific Reports·Youpei YanEli P Fenichel
Mar 18, 2021·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Boyeong HongConstantine E Kontokosta
Apr 7, 2021·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Youpei YanSaad B Omer
Sep 10, 2020·International Journal of Hospitality Management·Arthur HuangZhishan Guo
Jun 15, 2021·Medical Decision Making : an International Journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making·Gregg S GonsalvesJoshua L Warren
Jun 24, 2021·Scientific Reports·Qingchun LiAli Mostafavi
Jun 25, 2021·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Joel PerssonStefan Feuerriegel
Mar 18, 2021·NPJ Digital Medicine·Ashley O'DonoghueJennifer P Stevens
Sep 23, 2021·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Seth G BenzellChristos Nicolaides
Jan 28, 2022·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Juan PalaciosSiqi Zheng
Aug 12, 2021··Joel PerssonAmray Schwabe
Mar 3, 2021··Derek OuyangAlexandra Chouldechova

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